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S'estan mostrant les entrades amb l'etiqueta chaos

The Butterfly Effect

Imatge
Surely many people have heard of the Butterfly Effect . Behind this name we find the formulation of the theory of chaos. After the discovery that the universe has a story ( Big Bang ) and we certainly two key theories of physics ( quantum and relativity ) the formulation of the unpredictability of events that changed the conception of our world now. We are facing a revolution totally ignored by majority of the population, which is easier to think about God's plans, conspiracies and other fantasies when he sees the events of our day; but the reality is that man proposes and random features . Pierre Simon de Laplace certainly was one of the key figures in the scientific worldview to the early twentieth century. He was defending that the laws of physics were above the divine will, he maintained that the Causal Determinism was the thread which moved events. The principle of Causal Determinism postulates that any outcome is due to a cause and this is the previous state ...

Are 400 ppm of CO2 the border to beginning the Armageddon, or not?

Imatge
At last we arrived at 400 ppm of CO 2 in the atmosphere .  Two decades of conferences, commitments and challenges don’t stop the growth of CO 2 atmospheric concentration. But we aren’t listening celestial trumpets or seeing angels armed with fire-swords down from heaven. It’s true, the predicted Apocalypse doesn’t start yet, but the barrier of two times the concentration of CO 2 of pre-industrial age is significant not to be a round number bur it had never exceeded in the last 600,000 years . However importance is that in first we are entering in ‘ terra incognita ’ with respect to fossil records, and second ours mathematic climatic models are out too of confidence interval; and now anything unforeseen or expected can happen. What does it mean Terra Incognita? As I explained in: Really are temperatures stopping its rice , climate models are a set of nonlinear differential equations and as such are very conditioned to the boundary conditions; this determines the calculation ...

Really are temperatures stopping its rise?

Imatge
This question has focused since the publication of new estimates at the end of 2012 where temperatures don’t grow as much as the same estimation in 2011, and even that seems low ( look below illustrations ). Obviously it has opened a debate on the issue where skeptics have used to re-evaluate their positions. Not long ago left the Climategate again, the scandal of emails on the data manipulated on the progress of climate change where Bob Ward demanded an explanation to clean meteorologists honor, and recently James Delingpole  talked about the “climate Change obsession” in " the crazy climate change obsession that's made the Met Office a menace ", where he attacks the British meteorological service. We don’t need to remember what happened in Doha as the null willingness by companies and governments in relation to the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions. All this is in a new offense deniers helped with data provided by the same pro-change that reinforce their position...